Market Insights - 4 min
The Federal Open Markets Committee ("FOMC") voted to hold the target rate at 4.25%-4.5% in its last meeting in early May. This is the level it has been at since January, and as of the time of writing, the markets are almost certain that the Federal Reserve (the "Fed") will continue to hold at this level at the upcoming meeting in June.However, this does not imply a stable, widely-agreed outlook for US interest rates or the economy. Rather, it reflects a state of inaction brought about by the high levels of uncertainty that have prevailed since the beginning of the year, with trade policy as the chief (but not the only) cause.
Jun 12, 2025
Market Insights - 4 min
March saw the Federal Reserve hold interest rates steady at 4.25% to 4.5% for the second meeting running, and it is widely expected that they will continue to hold rates at the current level in the upcoming meeting on May 6 and 7.[1]While this much is agreed on, almost everything else appears to be in a state of flux. While the data still suggests calm, the sentiment in the market suggests a coming storm. In this article, we will examine both perspectives and consider how investors should respond.
Apr 30, 2025
Market Insights - 4 min
Earlier this year, in our article published on February 10th (“Markets at a Crossroads”), we highlighted a number of indicators suggesting that a market correction was likely on the horizon. We also discussed strategies investors could consider to navigate potential volatility.
Apr 23, 2025
Market Insights - 4 min
The global investment environment is changing. Traditional strategies built on public stocks and bonds are being challenged by rising geopolitical tensions, higher interest rates, and major shifts in the global economy. In this environment, investors are no longer asking if they need to adjust their approach—they are asking how to do it with confidence and clarity.
Apr 15, 2025
Market Insights - 3 min
Investors often hear about market swings, but what really drives these ups and downs? The stock market isn't just about numbers—it reflects the emotions and expectations of investors.[1] The legendary investor Benjamin Graham introduced the idea of "Mr. Market," a fictional character who represents the market’s often erratic and emotional behavior. Mr. Market has certainly been active in recent months, with the S&P 500 reaching record highs in February before experiencing a sharp decline in March.[2] The question on many minds is: What does this mean for the future, and how should investors react?
Mar 27, 2025
Market Insights - 4 min
In late 2024, the Federal Open Markets Committee (“FOMC”) opted to begin cutting rates again, based on the apparent ‘soft landing’ it had achieved by delivering lower inflation without imperiling its second mandate of full employment.The last meeting saw a pause in this downward trajectory, with the target range held at 4.25% to 4.50%. In this article, we delve into the reasoning behind the latest decision, and examine how the events and the data published since may influence the future path of rates.
Mar 13, 2025
Market Insights - 3 min
Investors are navigating a complex environment where traditional portfolio strategies may no longer offer the stability they once did. Rising interest rates, persistent inflation concerns, and growing market volatility have sparked a reevaluation of long-standing assumptions, most notably, the reliability of the classic 60:40 approach. In light of these uncertainties, it is prudent to consider new avenues for growth and diversification.
Feb 26, 2025
Market Insights - 3 min
The past two years have seen impressive stock market growth, with the S&P 500 posting annual gains of 24% and 23%, respectively.[1] The last time the market showed similar performance was in the mid-1990s, when the index experienced five straight years of growth exceeding 20% per year.[2]At first glance, these returns might suggest that investing in a broad market index is a simple way to build wealth. However, history shows that long periods of strong performance are often followed by stretches of stagnation or volatility, making a cautious approach worthwhile.
Feb 10, 2025
Market Insights - 3 min
In the past few years, there have been growing signs of a fundamental re-alignment in geopolitics.[1] This marks a change from the established world order that prevailed from the end of the Cold War until the first Trump administration in 2016.
Feb 4, 2025